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FC Urartu vs Pyunik Yerevan Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Regular Season - 1 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 17:00

FC Urartu

PPG 1.53 · HOME

UPCOMING

Pyunik Yerevan

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.25, combined xG 2.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-110.1%0-25.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.5%1-113.1%1-26.8%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.1%2-18.4%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.5%3-13.6%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 27.9% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 35.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -0.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.6%

H 46% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.7%

#3 1–0 12.5%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Urartu1.3

Pyunik Yerevan1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FC URARTU · PPG 1.53

PYUNIK YEREVAN · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.25, combined xG 2.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FC Urartu (H) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pyunik Yerevan (A) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Urartu face Pyunik Yerevan in Armenia - Premier League on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Urartu a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Pyunik Yerevan 28%, so FC Urartu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for FC Urartu and 1.0 for Pyunik Yerevan (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Urartu are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.64 for Pyunik Yerevan.

FC Urartu vs Pyunik Yerevan Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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