FC Porto B vs Leixoes Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 30 Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes· Vila Nova de Gaia Monday, April 20, 2026 17:45

FC Porto B PPG 1.86

0-3 MISS

Leixoes PPG 1.36

Home· +53.0% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Porto B face Leixoes in Portugal - Segunda Liga on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Porto B a 62% chance, the draw 21% and Leixoes 17%, so FC Porto B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for FC Porto B and 0.9 for Leixoes (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Porto B are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.36 for Leixoes. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +53.0%. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.7%

Odds: 2.48 EV: +53.0%

Draw 21.2%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -30.0%

Away 17.2%

Odds: 2.58 EV: -55.6%

Model lean: Home

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.9% Odds: 2.00 +11.8%

Over 3.5 33.5% Odds: 3.50 +17.3%

BTTS 52.5% Odds: 1.73 -9.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Porto B

1.98

Leixoes

0.94

Model SuggestionHome +53.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 38%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -45.7%

Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.86) > Away AVERAGE (1.36)