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Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charleston Battery Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 23:00

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Charleston Battery

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-19.8%0-25.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.3%1-112.9%1-27.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.4%2-18.4%2-24.8%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.2%3-13.7%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 40.8% 2.45 +8.5%

Draw 26.7% 30.8% 3.25 -7.9%

Away win 29.0% 38.5% 2.60 -14.8%

Over 2.5 49.9% 50.0% 2.00 -0.2%

Over 3.5 28.7% 28.6% 3.50 +0.3%

BTTS 53.1% 57.8% 1.73 -8.1%

Home O1.5 37.9% 42.6% 2.35 -10.9%

Away O1.5 34.7% 40.8% 2.45 -15.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 113 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -14.2%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.1%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.6%

#3 1–0 11.3%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pittsburgh Riverhounds1.3

Charleston Battery1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PITTSBURGH RIVERHOUNDS · PPG 1.60

CHARLESTON BATTERY · PPG 1.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.17, combined xG 2.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Pittsburgh Riverhounds (H) 44.3%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +8.5%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -7.9%

Charleston Battery (A) 29.0%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -14.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pittsburgh Riverhounds face Charleston Battery in USA - USL Championship on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pittsburgh Riverhounds a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Charleston Battery 29%, so Pittsburgh Riverhounds are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.1 for Charleston Battery (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pittsburgh Riverhounds are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.00 for Charleston Battery. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +13.2%.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charleston Battery Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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