Lechia Gdansk PPG 1.93
Piast Gliwice PPG 1.21Lechia Gdansk face Piast Gliwice in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lechia Gdansk a 64% chance, the draw 17% and Piast Gliwice 19%, so Lechia Gdansk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Lechia Gdansk and 1.5 for Piast Gliwice (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lechia Gdansk are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.21 for Piast Gliwice. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +68.8%. This match finished 1-1.
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.21)