Today / USA - NWSL / Racing Louisville W vs Boston Legacy W

Racing Louisville W vs Boston Legacy W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 22:30

Racing Louisville W

PPG 1.38 · HOME

UPCOMING

Boston Legacy W

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.5%0-24.2%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.6%1-111.1%1-27.1%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.3%2-19.4%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.1%3-15.3%3-23.4%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.3%4+-22.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 29.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -19.4%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.5%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.3%

#4 1–2 7.1%

#5 1–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Louisville W1.7

Boston Legacy W1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING LOUISVILLE W · PPG 1.38

BOSTON LEGACY W · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Racing Louisville W (H) 45.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Boston Legacy W (A) 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Louisville W face Boston Legacy W in USA - NWSL on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Louisville W a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Boston Legacy W 30%, so Racing Louisville W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Racing Louisville W and 1.3 for Boston Legacy W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Louisville W are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.86 for Boston Legacy W.

Racing Louisville W vs Boston Legacy W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Match Preview & Prediction

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