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Seattle Reign FC W vs Angel City W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Group Stage ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 01:00

Seattle Reign FC W

PPG 1.43 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Angel City W

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.6%0-112.5%0-27.3%0-32.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.3%1-113.3%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.0%2-17.1%2-24.2%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.2%3-12.5%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% 41.7% 2.40 -22.5%

Draw 28.5% 29.0% 3.45 -1.0%

Away win 39.2% 39.2% 2.55 -0.0%

Over 2.5 45.9% 56.5% 1.77 -18.8%

Over 3.5 26.0% 33.9% 2.95 -14.0%

BTTS 49.2% 62.5% 1.60 -21.3%

Home O1.5 30.2% 46.5% 2.15 -35.1%

Away O1.5 34.7% 44.4% 2.25 -21.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -19.4%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.2%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.6%

#3 0–1 12.5%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seattle Reign FC W1.1

Angel City W1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SEATTLE REIGN FC W · PPG 1.43

ANGEL CITY W · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.11, combined xG 2.24 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Seattle Reign FC W (H) 32.3%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -22.5%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -1.0%

Angel City W (A) 39.2%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -0.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Seattle Reign FC W face Angel City W in USA - NWSL on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seattle Reign FC W a 32% chance, the draw 28% and Angel City W 39%, so Angel City W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Seattle Reign FC W and 1.2 for Angel City W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seattle Reign FC W are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.57 for Angel City W. This match finished 2-2.

Seattle Reign FC W vs Angel City W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Match Preview & Prediction

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