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NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 00:00

NJ/NY Gotham FC W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

San Diego Wave W

PPG 2.22 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-110.8%0-24.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.1%1-112.8%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-17.6%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.0%3-13.0%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% 47.6% 2.10 -1.5%

Draw 28.1% 31.3% 3.20 -6.0%

Away win 25.0% 30.8% 3.25 -11.3%

Over 2.5 44.0% 48.8% 2.05 -9.8%

Over 3.5 22.0% 27.0% 3.70 -11.2%

BTTS 48.4% 55.6% 1.80 -12.9%

Home O1.5 32.8% 46.5% 2.15 -29.5%

Away O1.5 17.4% 33.3% 3.00 -28.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -19.4%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.4%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.4%

#2 1–0✓ 17.1%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 0–1 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NJ/NY Gotham FC W1.2

San Diego Wave W0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NJ/NY GOTHAM FC W · PPG 2.00

SAN DIEGO WAVE W · PPG 2.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.44, combined xG 1.94 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

NJ/NY Gotham FC W (H) 46.9%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -1.5%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -6.0%

San Diego Wave W (A) 25.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -11.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

NJ/NY Gotham FC W face San Diego Wave W in USA - NWSL on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NJ/NY Gotham FC W a 47% chance, the draw 28% and San Diego Wave W 25%, so NJ/NY Gotham FC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for NJ/NY Gotham FC W and 0.7 for San Diego Wave W (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NJ/NY Gotham FC W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.22 for San Diego Wave W. This match finished 1-0.

NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs San Diego Wave W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Match Preview & Prediction

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