Miedz Legnica vs Gornik Leczna Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Poland - I Liga Regular Season - 29 Stadion im. Orła Białego· Legnica Monday, April 20, 2026 16:00

Miedz Legnica PPG 2.15

0-2 MISS

Gornik Leczna PPG 0.54

BTTS· +10.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Miedz Legnica face Gornik Leczna in Poland - I Liga on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Miedz Legnica a 64% chance, the draw 18% and Gornik Leczna 18%, so Miedz Legnica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Miedz Legnica and 1.3 for Gornik Leczna (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Miedz Legnica are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 0.54 for Gornik Leczna. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +10.2%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.4%

Odds: 1.62 EV: +4.3%

Draw 17.7%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -34.5%

Away 17.8%

Odds: 4.60 EV: -18.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.6% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 53.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 66.8% Odds: 1.65 +10.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Miedz Legnica

2.54

Gornik Leczna

1.29

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.15) vs P(Home)=64.4%