Al Adalha vs Al Jandal Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 30 Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium· Al Ahsa Monday, April 20, 2026 15:45

Al Adalha PPG 0.64

2-1 HIT CS2

Al Jandal PPG 0.86

Over3.5· +26.5% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Adalha face Al Jandal in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Adalha a 39% chance, the draw 23% and Al Jandal 38%, so Al Adalha are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al Adalha and 1.6 for Al Jandal (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Adalha are averaging 0.64 points per game versus 0.86 for Al Jandal. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +26.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.2%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -9.8%

Draw 23.2%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -25.8%

Away 37.6%

Odds: 2.85 EV: +7.2%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.0% Odds: 1.83 +15.3%

Over 3.5 40.8% Odds: 3.10 +26.5%

BTTS 64.4% Odds: 1.62 +4.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Adalha

1.64

Al Jandal

1.60

Model SuggestionBTTS +4.3% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+26.5%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.7%

Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.64), Away POOR (0.86)