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Ukraine - Premier League logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 24 Arena Lviv· Lviv Monday, April 20, 2026 15:00
Shakhtar logo Shakhtar PPG 2.58
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Polessya logo Polessya PPG 2.45
Home· -4.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.3%
Odds: 1.90 EV: -4.4%
Draw 27.5%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -14.8%
Away 22.2%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -11.2%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.1% Odds: 2.20 -16.2%
Over 3.5 18.4% Odds: 4.00 -26.4%
BTTS 42.2% Odds: 1.93 -18.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Shakhtar
1.39
Polessya
0.82

Model Suggestion

Home -4.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -4.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.58), Away EXCELLENT (2.45)

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