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Ukraine - Premier League logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 29 Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho· Kyiv Monday, May 18, 2026 10:00
Zorya Luhansk logo Zorya Luhansk PPG 1.64
0-0 HIT CS4
Polessya logo Polessya PPG 2.14
Home· +21.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.0%
Odds: 5.40 EV: +21.0%
Draw 27.6%
Odds: 3.85 EV: +3.8%
Away 47.4%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -27.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.90 -9.6%
Over 3.5 24.4% Odds: 3.30 -11.7%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.91 -1.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Zorya Luhansk
0.94
Polessya
1.57

Model Suggestion

BTTS -1.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+21.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 63%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -3.6%
Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs Home GOOD (1.64)

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