Today / Ukraine - Premier League / Obolon vs LNZ Cherkasy

Obolon vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 10:00

Obolon

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLWL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

LNZ Cherkasy

PPG 2.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLW

// Model verdict

Away 56% chance

Model probability 58.1% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+6.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-117.9%0-214.0%0-37.3%0-4+4.0%1 1-06.9%1-110.8%1-28.4%1-34.4%1-4+2.4%2 2-02.1%2-13.3%2-22.5%2-31.3%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.4%3-10.7%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.8% 23.8% 4.20 -22.7%

Draw 27.0% 32.3% 3.10 -9.8%

Away win 58.1% 54.6% 1.83 +6.3%

Over 2.5 46.2% 40.8% 2.45 +13.2%

Over 3.5 17.4% 21.1% 4.75 -10.4%

BTTS 48.6% 47.6% 2.10 +2.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob48.6%

A 58% / xG 0.6-1.6 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 17.9%

#2 0–2 14.0%

#3 0–0 11.5%

#4 1–1 10.8%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Obolon0.6

LNZ Cherkasy1.6

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.4%

Form & verdict PPG

OBOLON · PPG 1.00

LNZ CHERKASY · PPG 2.07

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

56%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Obolon (H) 14.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -22.7%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -9.8%

LNZ Cherkasy (A) 58.1%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV +6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Obolon face LNZ Cherkasy in Ukraine - Premier League on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Obolon a 15% chance, the draw 27% and LNZ Cherkasy 58%, so LNZ Cherkasy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Obolon and 1.6 for LNZ Cherkasy (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Obolon are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.07 for LNZ Cherkasy. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +13.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Obolon vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ukraine - Premier League Predictions