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Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 10:00

Dynamo Kyiv

PPG 1.86 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWWW

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kudrivka

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLDD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 64% chance

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-13.4%0-21.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.0%1-18.1%1-23.3%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.7%2-19.5%2-23.9%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.1%3-17.4%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-09.3%4+-17.6%4+-23.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.5% 80.0% 1.25 -24.4%

Draw 21.6% 20.8% 4.80 +2.2%

Away win 17.8% 9.1% 11.00 +57.5%

Over 2.5 61.4% 64.5% 1.55 -4.8%

Over 3.5 38.9% 43.5% 2.30 -10.5%

BTTS 51.6% 51.8% 1.93 -0.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 77 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.6%

H 60% / xG 2.3-0.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.7%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–1 8.1%

#4 3–0 9.1%

#5 1–0 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dynamo Kyiv2.3

Kudrivka0.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DYNAMO KYIV · PPG 1.86

KUDRIVKA · PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

Chance this pick lands

64%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=60.5%

Win probability 1X2

Dynamo Kyiv (H) 60.5%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -24.4%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +2.2%

Kudrivka (A) 17.8%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV +57.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dynamo Kyiv face Kudrivka in Ukraine - Premier League on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dynamo Kyiv a 61% chance, the draw 22% and Kudrivka 18%, so Dynamo Kyiv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Dynamo Kyiv and 0.8 for Kudrivka (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dynamo Kyiv are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.43 for Kudrivka. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +57.5%. This match finished 3-2.

Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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