Episentr vs SK Poltava Prediction & Tips

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Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 30 Ternopilsky Misky Stadion· Ternopil Saturday, May 23, 2026 12:30

Episentr PPG 1.07

0-0 MISS

SK Poltava PPG 0.43

Away· +81.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.1%

Odds: 1.25 EV: -31.1%

Draw 23.0%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +6.2%

Away 21.9%

Odds: 10.75 EV: +81.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.50 -7.9%

Over 3.5 37.7% Odds: 2.20 -17.1%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.85 -2.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Episentr

2.19

SK Poltava

0.92

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -7.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+81.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.07) > Away POOR (0.43)