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Ukraine - Premier League logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 30 Tsentralnyi Stadion· Zhytomyr Sunday, May 24, 2026 10:00
Polessya logo Polessya PPG 1.79
2-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Rukh Lviv logo Rukh Lviv PPG 0.71
Away· +59.7% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.8%
Odds: 1.12 EV: -27.4%
Draw 24.7%
Odds: 6.25 EV: +32.6%
Away 10.5%
Odds: 19.00 EV: +59.7%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.9% Odds: 1.48 -30.6%
Over 3.5 20.7% Odds: 2.20 -32.7%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 2.45 +13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 3-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Polessya
1.86
Rukh Lviv
0.47

Model Suggestion

Home -27.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -27.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+59.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.79) vs P(Home)=64.8%

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