Ukraine - Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Tsentralnyi Stadion· ZhytomyrSunday, May 24, 202610:00
PolessyaPPG 1.79
2-0HIT MostLikelyScore
Rukh LvivPPG 0.71
Away· +59.7%✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home64.8%
Odds: 1.12EV: -27.4%
Draw24.7%
Odds: 6.25EV: +32.6%
Away10.5%
Odds: 19.00EV: +59.7%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.546.9%Odds: 1.48-30.6%
Over 3.520.7%Odds: 2.20-32.7%
BTTS46.2%Odds: 2.45+13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st2-0✔
2nd1-0✘
3rd0-0✘
4th3-0✘
5th1-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Polessya
1.86
Rukh Lviv
0.47
Model Suggestion
Home-27.4%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -27.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+59.7%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.79) vs P(Home)=64.8%