Karpaty Lviv vs Zorya Luhansk Prediction & Tips

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Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 30 Ukraina Stadium· Lviv Saturday, May 23, 2026 15:00

Karpaty Lviv PPG 1.29

1-2 MISS

Zorya Luhansk PPG 1.36

Home· +0.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.5%

Odds: 2.20 EV: +0.1%

Draw 28.1%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -4.4%

Away 26.5%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -13.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.9% Odds: 1.85 -13.2%

Over 3.5 21.1% Odds: 3.10 -20.8%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.65 -14.9%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Karpaty Lviv

1.31

Zorya Luhansk

1.04

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+0.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.36)