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Kudrivka vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 29 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 10:00

Kudrivka

PPG 1.23 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDD

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

LNZ Cherkasy

PPG 2.23 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLW

// Model verdict

Away 61% chance

Model probability 60.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-116.7%0-213.8%0-37.6%0-4+4.6%1 1-06.5%1-110.7%1-28.8%1-34.9%1-4+2.9%2 2-02.1%2-13.4%2-22.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.4%3-10.7%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.0% 19.0% 5.25 -15.9%

Draw 25.4% 29.0% 3.45 -7.4%

Away win 60.6% 61.7% 1.62 -1.8%

Over 2.5 46.4% 44.4% 2.25 +4.4%

Over 3.5 19.9% 23.8% 4.20 -9.8%

BTTS 48.6% 47.6% 2.10 +2.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob48.6%

A 61% / xG 0.6-1.7 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.7%

#2 0–2 13.8%

#3 1–1 10.7%

#4 0–0 10.1%

#5 1–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kudrivka0.6

LNZ Cherkasy1.7

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.4% · O3.5 PROB 19.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KUDRIVKA · PPG 1.23

LNZ CHERKASY · PPG 2.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

61%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs Home AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Kudrivka (H) 14.0%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -15.9%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -7.4%

LNZ Cherkasy (A) 60.6%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -1.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kudrivka face LNZ Cherkasy in Ukraine - Premier League on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kudrivka a 14% chance, the draw 25% and LNZ Cherkasy 61%, so LNZ Cherkasy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Kudrivka and 1.7 for LNZ Cherkasy (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kudrivka are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 2.23 for LNZ Cherkasy. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +4.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Kudrivka vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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