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Veres vs Metalist 1925 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 10:00

Veres

PPG 1.14 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Metalist 1925

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.6%0-118.9%0-211.4%0-34.6%0-4+1.8%1 1-010.2%1-112.2%1-27.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-03.3%2-14.0%2-22.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.7%3-10.9%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.0% 19.2% 5.20 +14.9%

Draw 30.7% 28.6% 3.50 +7.4%

Away win 45.3% 62.5% 1.60 -27.5%

Over 2.5 35.0% 48.8% 2.05 -28.2%

Over 3.5 11.8% 27.0% 3.70 -33.8%

BTTS 46.2% 51.3% 1.95 -9.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 77 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob46.2%

A 45% / xG 0.6-1.2 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.6%

#2 0–1✓ 18.9%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 0–2 11.4%

#5 1–0 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Veres0.6

Metalist 19251.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VERES · PPG 1.14

METALIST 1925 · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

Chance this pick lands

46%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.14) vs Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Veres (H) 24.0%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +14.9%

Draw 30.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +7.4%

Metalist 1925 (A) 45.3%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -27.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Veres face Metalist 1925 in Ukraine - Premier League on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Veres a 24% chance, the draw 31% and Metalist 1925 45%, so Metalist 1925 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Veres and 1.2 for Metalist 1925 (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Veres are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.57 for Metalist 1925. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Veres vs Metalist 1925 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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