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Ukraine - Premier League logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 29 Girnyk· Kryvyj Rih Sunday, May 17, 2026 10:00
Kryvbas KR logo Kryvbas KR PPG 1.93
2-3 MISS
Shakhtar logo Shakhtar PPG 2.29
Home· +9.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.7%
Odds: 5.60 EV: +9.6%
Draw 23.2%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -1.5%
Away 56.0%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -17.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.50 -7.9%
Over 3.5 38.8% Odds: 2.30 -10.8%
BTTS 59.2% Odds: 1.57 -7.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Kryvbas KR
1.07
Shakhtar
2.09

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+9.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 63%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -3.6%
Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.93) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.29)

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