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Rangers de Talca vs Magallanes Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 19:00

Rangers de Talca

PPG 0.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Magallanes

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-110.3%0-28.1%0-34.3%0-4+2.4%1 1-07.5%1-111.9%1-29.4%1-34.9%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.3%2-16.8%2-25.4%2-32.8%2-4+1.6%3 3-01.7%3-12.6%3-22.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 41.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.3% — — —

Away O1.5 47.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -11.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob54.5%

A 41% / xG 1.2-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–1 10.3%

#4 0–0 6.5%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rangers de Talca1.2

Magallanes1.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

RANGERS DE TALCA · PPG 0.40

MAGALLANES · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rangers de Talca (H) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Magallanes (A) 41.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rangers de Talca face Magallanes in Chile - Liga de Ascenso on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rangers de Talca a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Magallanes 41%, so Magallanes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Rangers de Talca and 1.6 for Magallanes (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rangers de Talca are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 1.50 for Magallanes.

Rangers de Talca vs Magallanes Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Match Preview & Prediction

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