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San Luis vs Deportes Temuco Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Matchday 20 ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 22:00

San Luis

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportes Temuco

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.82 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-14.9%0-22.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.3%1-19.8%1-25.8%1-32.3%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.8%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.6%3-16.6%3-23.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-15.2%4+-23.1%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.1% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 34.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -20.3%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.3%

H 53% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 1–0 8.3%

#5 3–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Luis2.0

Deportes Temuco1.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN LUIS · PPG 2.33

DEPORTES TEMUCO · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.82 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

San Luis (H) 53.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportes Temuco (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

San Luis face Deportes Temuco in Chile - Liga de Ascenso on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Luis a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Deportes Temuco 24%, so San Luis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for San Luis and 1.2 for Deportes Temuco (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Luis are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.56 for Deportes Temuco.

San Luis vs Deportes Temuco Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Match Preview & Prediction

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