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Genoa U20 vs Torino U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 34 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 12:00

Genoa U20

PPG 1.44 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

Torino U20

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-19.4%0-24.8%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.6%1-112.8%1-26.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.6%2-18.7%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.9%3-14.0%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% 38.5% 2.60 +16.2%

Draw 27.3% 29.4% 3.40 -7.2%

Away win 28.1% 43.5% 2.30 -35.4%

Over 2.5 42.6% 54.1% 1.85 -21.2%

Over 3.5 21.8% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.6%

H 45% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 0–1 9.4%

#4 0–0 9.2%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Genoa U201.4

Torino U201.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.6% · O3.5 PROB 21.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GENOA U20 · PPG 1.44

TORINO U20 · PPG 1.13

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Genoa U20 (H) 44.7%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +16.2%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -7.2%

Torino U20 (A) 28.1%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -35.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Genoa U20 face Torino U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Genoa U20 a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Torino U20 28%, so Genoa U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Genoa U20 and 1.0 for Torino U20 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Genoa U20 are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.13 for Torino U20. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +16.2%. This match finished 4-2.

Genoa U20 vs Torino U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 Predictions