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Slovácko vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:00

Slovácko

PPG 1.24 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sigma Olomouc

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-111.0%0-27.6%0-33.5%0-4+1.6%1 1-09.1%1-112.6%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.3%2-17.3%2-25.0%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.0%3-12.8%3-21.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.0% — — —

Draw 28.5% — — —

Away win 37.5% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.3% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.1%

D 28% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 7.9%

#3 0–1 11.0%

#4 1–2 8.7%

#5 0–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovácko1.2

Sigma Olomouc1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVÁCKO · PPG 1.24

SIGMA OLOMOUC · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Slovácko (H) 34.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sigma Olomouc (A) 37.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovácko face Sigma Olomouc in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovácko a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Sigma Olomouc 38%, so Sigma Olomouc are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Slovácko and 1.4 for Sigma Olomouc (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovácko are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.38 for Sigma Olomouc.

Slovácko vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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