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Zlin vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:00

Zlin

PPG 1.07 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Bohemians 1905

PPG 1.03 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-111.0%0-25.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.1%1-113.3%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.9%2-18.0%2-24.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.2%3-13.2%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% 40.3% 2.48 +12.8%

Draw 27.6% 30.8% 3.25 -6.2%

Away win 26.9% 37.9% 2.64 -17.4%

Over 2.5 44.0% 50.0% 2.00 -12.0%

Over 3.5 23.3% 27.8% 3.60 -9.7%

BTTS 48.4% 57.8% 1.73 -16.3%

Home O1.5 34.0% 40.8% 2.45 -16.7%

Away O1.5 31.6% 39.2% 2.55 -19.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.4%

H 46% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.9%

#3 1–0 13.1%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zlin1.2

Bohemians 19051.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 23.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ZLIN · PPG 1.07

BOHEMIANS 1905 · PPG 1.03

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.20, combined xG 2.22 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zlin (H) 45.5%

ODDS 2.48 · IMPLIED 40.3% EV +12.8%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -6.2%

Bohemians 1905 (A) 26.9%

ODDS 2.64 · IMPLIED 37.9% EV -17.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zlin face Bohemians 1905 in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zlin a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Bohemians 1905 27%, so Zlin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Zlin and 1.0 for Bohemians 1905 (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zlin are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.03 for Bohemians 1905. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +6.6%. This match finished 0-2.

Zlin vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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