Today / Czech-Republic - Czech Liga / Plzen vs Zlin

Plzen vs Zlin Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:00

Plzen

PPG 1.42 · HOME

UPCOMING

Zlin

PPG 0.95 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.01 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-14.5%0-22.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.8%1-19.5%1-25.1%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-19.9%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.4%3-16.9%3-23.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-15.9%4+-23.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 59.8% — — —

Away O1.5 34.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.5%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.2%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 3–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Plzen2.1

Zlin1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PLZEN · PPG 1.42

ZLIN · PPG 0.95

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.01 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Plzen (H) 53.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zlin (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Plzen face Zlin in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Plzen a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Zlin 23%, so Plzen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Plzen and 1.1 for Zlin (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Plzen are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 0.95 for Zlin.

Plzen vs Zlin Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - Czech Liga Predictions