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Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 13:00

Sigma Olomouc

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mlada Boleslav

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.1% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.5%0-25.3%0-32.8%0-4+1.6%1 1-06.5%1-110.4%1-28.4%1-34.5%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.2%2-18.3%2-26.7%2-33.6%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.7%3-14.4%3-23.5%3-31.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.5%4+-22.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.2% 57.1% 1.75 -33.1%

Draw 25.5% 27.0% 3.70 -3.4%

Away win 36.4% 25.0% 4.00 +45.6%

Over 2.5 61.2% 61.7% 1.62 -0.9%

Over 3.5 37.3% 39.2% 2.55 -4.9%

BTTS 62.1% 64.5% 1.55 -3.7%

Home O1.5 49.4% 58.8% 1.70 -16.0%

Away O1.5 48.0% 35.7% 2.80 +34.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 22%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.1%

A 36% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–0 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sigma Olomouc1.6

Mlada Boleslav1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SIGMA OLOMOUC · PPG 1.71

MLADA BOLESLAV · PPG 1.75

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sigma Olomouc (H) 38.2%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -33.1%

Draw 25.5%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -3.4%

Mlada Boleslav (A) 36.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +45.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sigma Olomouc face Mlada Boleslav in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sigma Olomouc a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Mlada Boleslav 36%, so Sigma Olomouc are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sigma Olomouc and 1.6 for Mlada Boleslav (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sigma Olomouc are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.75 for Mlada Boleslav. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +34.4%.

Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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