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Oleksandria vs Veres Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Regular Season - 24 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 10:00

Oleksandria

PPG 0.70 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Veres

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-115.9%0-28.8%0-33.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.0%1-113.3%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.0%2-15.5%2-23.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.4%3-11.5%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.3% 36.4% 2.75 -24.9%

Draw 31.0% 34.5% 2.90 -10.1%

Away win 41.7% 39.2% 2.55 +6.3%

Over 2.5 30.7% 40.8% 2.45 -24.8%

Over 3.5 13.2% 21.1% 4.75 -37.3%

BTTS 37.8% 51.3% 1.95 -26.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 11.4%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob37.8%

A 42% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.9%

#2 0–0 14.4%

#3 1–1 13.3%

#4 1–0 12.0%

#5 0–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oleksandria0.8

Veres1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.7% · O3.5 PROB 13.2%

Form & verdict PPG

OLEKSANDRIA · PPG 0.70

VERES · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.70) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Oleksandria (H) 27.3%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -24.9%

Draw 31.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.1%

Veres (A) 41.7%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Oleksandria face Veres in Ukraine - Premier League on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oleksandria a 27% chance, the draw 31% and Veres 42%, so Veres are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Oleksandria and 1.1 for Veres (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oleksandria are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 1.00 for Veres. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.3%. This match finished 0-3.

Oleksandria vs Veres Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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