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Sandnes ULF vs hodd Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 15:00

Sandnes ULF

PPG 1.62 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

hodd

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-16.8%0-23.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.9%1-111.4%1-26.5%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.4%2-19.6%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.7%3-15.4%3-23.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.3%4+-21.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% 52.4% 1.91 -4.9%

Draw 24.4% 27.8% 3.60 -7.3%

Away win 25.8% 30.3% 3.30 -8.9%

Over 2.5 60.4% 64.5% 1.55 -6.4%

Over 3.5 36.8% 42.0% 2.38 -12.4%

BTTS 59.9% 69.0% 1.45 -13.2%

Home O1.5 49.2% 58.8% 1.70 -16.4%

Away O1.5 35.4% 43.5% 2.30 -18.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 73 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 23%

ROI 23.4%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.9%

H 50% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 1–0 9.9%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandnes ULF1.7

hodd1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDNES ULF · PPG 1.62

HODD · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sandnes ULF (H) 49.8%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -4.9%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.3%

hodd (A) 25.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -8.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandnes ULF face hodd in Norway - 1st Division on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandnes ULF a 50% chance, the draw 24% and hodd 26%, so Sandnes ULF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sandnes ULF and 1.1 for hodd (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandnes ULF are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.00 for hodd. This match finished 3-4.

Sandnes ULF vs hodd Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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