Abha vs Jeddah Prediction & Tips

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Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Wednesday, April 15, 2026 —

Abha PPG 2.36

1-0 HIT CS2

Jeddah PPG 1.57

Away· +31.3% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.4%

Odds: 1.22 EV: -12.9%

Draw 18.5%

Odds: 5.10 EV: -5.7%

Away 10.1%

Odds: 13.00 EV: +31.3%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.4% Odds: 1.57 -19.3%

Over 3.5 29.3% Odds: 2.40 -29.7%

BTTS 41.3% Odds: 2.10 -13.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✔

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Abha

2.10

Jeddah

0.64

Model SuggestionHome -12.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -12.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+31.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.36) > Away GOOD (1.57)