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Los Angeles FC vs SJ Earthquakes Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 8 BMO Stadium· Los Angeles Sunday, April 19, 2026 23:00
Los Angeles FC logo Los Angeles FC PPG 3.00
1-4 MISS
SJ Earthquakes logo SJ Earthquakes PPG 3.00
Draw· +89.6% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Los Angeles FC face SJ Earthquakes in USA - Major League Soccer on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Los Angeles FC a 36% chance, the draw 48% and SJ Earthquakes 16%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Los Angeles FC and 0.3 for SJ Earthquakes (0.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 7% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 12% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Los Angeles FC are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 3.00 for SJ Earthquakes. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +89.6%. This match finished 1-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.9%
Odds: 1.63 EV: -41.5%
Draw 48.0%
Odds: 3.95 EV: +89.6%
Away 16.1%
Odds: 4.90 EV: -21.1%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 6.5% Odds: 1.57 -89.8%
Over 3.5 1.4% Odds: 2.35 -96.7%
BTTS 12.2% Odds: 1.55 -81.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Los Angeles FC
0.60
SJ Earthquakes
0.31

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Draw
Tracked ROI market: Draw.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (3.00), Away EXCELLENT (3.00)

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