Today / China - Super League / Hangzhou Greentown vs Chengdu Better City

Hangzhou Greentown vs Chengdu Better City Prediction— China - Super League

Matchday 23 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:35

Hangzhou Greentown

PPG 1.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Chengdu Better City

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.6% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-18.4%0-26.3%0-33.2%0-4+1.7%1 1-07.6%1-111.6%1-28.8%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.3%2-18.0%2-26.0%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.4%3-13.7%3-22.8%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.5% 35.5% 2.82 +0.1%

Draw 24.5% 26.3% 3.80 -4.1%

Away win 39.9% 47.2% 2.12 -15.4%

Over 2.5 59.5% 72.5% 1.38 -17.9%

Over 3.5 36.5% 51.3% 1.95 -28.8%

BTTS 61.6% 75.2% 1.33 -18.1%

Home O1.5 39.0% 52.6% 1.90 -25.9%

Away O1.5 47.3% 61.7% 1.62 -23.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 83 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -9.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.6%

A 40% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 0–0 5.5%

#5 0–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hangzhou Greentown1.4

Chengdu Better City1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HANGZHOU GREENTOWN · PPG 1.80

CHENGDU BETTER CITY · PPG 1.91

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.13 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Hangzhou Greentown (H) 35.5%

ODDS 2.82 · IMPLIED 35.5% EV +0.1%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -4.1%

Chengdu Better City (A) 39.9%

ODDS 2.12 · IMPLIED 47.2% EV -15.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hangzhou Greentown face Chengdu Better City in China - Super League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hangzhou Greentown a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Chengdu Better City 40%, so Chengdu Better City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hangzhou Greentown and 1.5 for Chengdu Better City (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hangzhou Greentown are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.91 for Chengdu Better City.

Hangzhou Greentown vs Chengdu Better City Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - Super League Predictions