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Rizhao Yuqi vs Shanghai Port II Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:30

Rizhao Yuqi

PPG 1.30 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shanghai Port II

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.1%0-118.9%0-211.1%0-34.4%0-4+1.7%1 1-010.5%1-112.3%1-27.2%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-03.4%2-14.0%2-22.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.7%3-10.9%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.9% — — —

Draw 29.8% — — —

Away win 45.3% — — —

Over 2.5 38.4% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.7%

A 45% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.1%

#2 0–1 18.9%

#3 1–1 12.3%

#4 0–2 11.1%

#5 1–0 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rizhao Yuqi0.7

Shanghai Port II1.2

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.4% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RIZHAO YUQI · PPG 1.30

SHANGHAI PORT II · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.53 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Rizhao Yuqi (H) 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shanghai Port II (A) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rizhao Yuqi face Shanghai Port II in China - League Two on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rizhao Yuqi a 25% chance, the draw 30% and Shanghai Port II 45%, so Shanghai Port II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Rizhao Yuqi and 1.2 for Shanghai Port II (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rizhao Yuqi are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 2.20 for Shanghai Port II.

Rizhao Yuqi vs Shanghai Port II Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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