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Langfang Glory City vs Guizhou Zhucheng Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 11:30

Langfang Glory City

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Guizhou Zhucheng

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-113.0%0-28.5%0-33.7%0-4+1.6%1 1-09.9%1-113.0%1-28.5%1-33.8%1-4+1.6%2 2-04.9%2-16.5%2-24.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.6%3-12.2%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.1% 21.7% 4.60 +52.3%

Draw 30.1% 33.3% 3.00 -9.7%

Away win 36.8% 57.1% 1.75 -35.6%

Over 2.5 45.8% 42.6% 2.35 +7.6%

Over 3.5 25.8% 22.5% 4.45 +8.9%

BTTS 48.7% 46.5% 2.15 +4.7%

Home O1.5 32.1% 19.8% 5.05 +62.1%

Away O1.5 42.9% 46.9% 2.13 -8.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.7%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.8%

#3 0–1 13.0%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Langfang Glory City1.0

Guizhou Zhucheng1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LANGFANG GLORY CITY · PPG 1.22

GUIZHOU ZHUCHENG · PPG 1.25

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.31, combined xG 2.32 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Langfang Glory City (H) 33.1%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +52.3%

Draw 30.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.7%

Guizhou Zhucheng (A) 36.8%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -35.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Langfang Glory City face Guizhou Zhucheng in China - League Two on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Langfang Glory City a 33% chance, the draw 30% and Guizhou Zhucheng 37%, so Guizhou Zhucheng are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Langfang Glory City and 1.3 for Guizhou Zhucheng (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Langfang Glory City are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.25 for Guizhou Zhucheng. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +62.1%.

Langfang Glory City vs Guizhou Zhucheng Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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