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Langfang Glory City vs Guizhou Zhucheng Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 20 ·Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 09:30

Langfang Glory City

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Guizhou Zhucheng

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.2%0-116.0%0-28.4%0-32.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.6%1-113.3%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.3%2-15.5%2-22.9%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.5%3-11.5%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 33.3% — — —

Away win 35.1% — — —

Over 2.5 34.3% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 32.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob44.6%

D 33% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.2%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 16.0%

#4 1–0 12.6%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Langfang Glory City0.8

Guizhou Zhucheng1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.3% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LANGFANG GLORY CITY · PPG 1.22

GUIZHOU ZHUCHENG · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.22, combined xG 1.89 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Langfang Glory City (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Guizhou Zhucheng (A) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Langfang Glory City face Guizhou Zhucheng in China - League Two on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Langfang Glory City a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Guizhou Zhucheng 35%, so Guizhou Zhucheng are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Langfang Glory City and 1.1 for Guizhou Zhucheng (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Langfang Glory City are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.25 for Guizhou Zhucheng.

Langfang Glory City vs Guizhou Zhucheng Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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