Today / Argentina - Primera Nacional / Racing Cordoba vs D. de Belgrano

Racing Cordoba vs D. de Belgrano Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 22:30

Racing Cordoba

PPG 1.75 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

D. de Belgrano

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-035.2%0-124.1%0-28.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.7%1-18.7%1-23.0%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-02.3%2-11.6%2-20.5%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.3%3-10.2%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.1% 42.9% 2.33 -60.2%

Draw 44.5% 38.2% 2.62 +16.6%

Away win 38.5% 29.0% 3.45 +32.8%

Over 2.5 8.8% 28.6% 3.50 -69.2%

Over 3.5 2.2% — — —

BTTS 14.9% 39.2% 2.55 -62.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob14.9%

A 38% / xG 0.4-0.7 / U2.5 9% / NoBTTS 15%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 35.2%

#2 0–1 24.1%

#3 1–0 12.7%

#4 1–1 8.7%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Cordoba0.4

D. de Belgrano0.7

COMBINED 1.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 8.8% · O3.5 PROB 2.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 1.75

D. DE BELGRANO · PPG 2.50

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Racing Cordoba (H) 17.1%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -60.2%

Draw 44.5%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +16.6%

D. de Belgrano (A) 38.5%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +32.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Cordoba face D. de Belgrano in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Cordoba a 17% chance, the draw 45% and D. de Belgrano 39%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.4 for Racing Cordoba and 0.7 for D. de Belgrano (1.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 9% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 15% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Cordoba are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.50 for D. de Belgrano. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +32.8%. This match finished 3-0.

Racing Cordoba vs D. de Belgrano Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera Nacional Predictions