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Notodden vs Brattvåg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Notodden

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brattvåg

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-113.8%0-27.1%0-32.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.2%1-113.5%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.5%2-16.6%2-23.4%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.1%3-12.2%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.6% — — —

Draw 32.3% — — —

Away win 33.1% — — —

Over 2.5 41.5% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 31.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -46.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.7%

D 32% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 13.4%

#3 0–1 13.8%

#4 1–0 13.2%

#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Notodden1.0

Brattvåg1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.5% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

NOTODDEN · PPG 1.14

BRATTVÅG · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.04, combined xG 2.01 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Notodden (H) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brattvåg (A) 33.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Notodden face Brattvåg in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Notodden a 35% chance, the draw 32% and Brattvåg 33%, so Notodden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Notodden and 1.0 for Brattvåg (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Notodden are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.75 for Brattvåg.

Notodden vs Brattvåg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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