FBC Melgar vs Universitario Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

FBC Melgar face Universitario in Peru - Primera División on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FBC Melgar a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Universitario 27%, so FBC Melgar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for FBC Melgar and 1.1 for Universitario (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FBC Melgar are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.75 for Universitario. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +25.2%. This match finished 2-1.