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Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 10:30

Ulsan Hyundai FC

PPG 1.30 · HOME

UPCOMING

FC Anyang

PPG 1.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6% — a clear edge.

+16.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-17.9%0-27.3%0-34.5%0-4+3.2%1 1-05.6%1-110.3%1-29.5%1-35.9%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.6%2-16.7%2-26.2%2-33.8%2-4+2.7%3 3-01.6%3-12.9%3-22.7%3-31.7%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% 52.6% 1.90 -41.9%

Draw 23.6% 28.2% 3.55 -9.7%

Away win 45.8% 26.3% 3.80 +74.0%

Over 2.5 63.6% 54.6% 1.83 +16.4%

Over 3.5 39.8% 32.3% 3.10 +23.4%

BTTS 62.1% 59.9% 1.67 +3.7%

Home O1.5 38.3% 54.1% 1.85 -29.1%

Away O1.5 50.0% 33.9% 2.95 +47.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 37%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -72.1%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.1%

A 46% / xG 1.3-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ulsan Hyundai FC1.3

FC Anyang1.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ULSAN HYUNDAI FC · PPG 1.30

FC ANYANG · PPG 1.90

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.54 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Ulsan Hyundai FC (H) 30.6%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -41.9%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -9.7%

FC Anyang (A) 45.8%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +74.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ulsan Hyundai FC face FC Anyang in South Korea - K League 1 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ulsan Hyundai FC a 31% chance, the draw 24% and FC Anyang 46%, so FC Anyang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ulsan Hyundai FC and 1.8 for FC Anyang (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ulsan Hyundai FC are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.90 for FC Anyang. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +76.5%.

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Anyang Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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