San Luis vs D. Iquique Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Chile - Primera B Regular Season - 8 Sunday, April 19, 2026 22:00

San Luis PPG 1.67

2-1 HIT CS3

D. Iquique PPG 0.33

Home· +19.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

San Luis face D. Iquique in Chile - Primera B on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Luis a 54% chance, the draw 23% and D. Iquique 22%, so San Luis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for San Luis and 1.1 for D. Iquique (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Luis are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.33 for D. Iquique. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +19.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.3%

Odds: 2.20 EV: +19.5%

Draw 23.3%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -25.4%

Away 22.4%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -33.9%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.7% Odds: 2.05 +10.1%

Over 3.5 31.4% Odds: 3.70 +16.2%

BTTS 54.1% Odds: 1.80 -2.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✔

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

San Luis

1.77

D. Iquique

1.05

Model SuggestionHome +19.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=54.3%