SM Tucuman vs Tristan Suarez Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

SM Tucuman face Tristan Suarez in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SM Tucuman a 23% chance, the draw 50% and Tristan Suarez 28%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.4 for SM Tucuman and 0.5 for Tristan Suarez (0.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 6% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 13% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SM Tucuman are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.33 for Tristan Suarez. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +41.9%. This match finished 0-0.