Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura

Match Preview & Prediction

Olimpia face Cerro Porteno in Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olimpia a 58% chance, the draw 26% and Cerro Porteno 15%, so Olimpia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Olimpia and 0.6 for Cerro Porteno (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olimpia are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.13 for Cerro Porteno. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.4%.