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Harbour View vs Waterhouse Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Regular Season - 35 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 20:30

Harbour View

PPG 1.24 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Waterhouse

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home AVERAGE (1.24)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-111.4%0-28.8%0-34.5%0-4+2.4%1 1-07.9%1-112.1%1-29.3%1-34.8%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.2%2-16.4%2-25.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.5%3-12.3%3-21.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.2% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 48.3% — — —

Over 2.5 48.2% — — —

Over 3.5 26.5% — — —

BTTS 51.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob51.4%

A 48% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 0–1✓ 11.4%

#3 1–2 9.3%

#4 0–2 8.8%

#5 1–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Harbour View1.1

Waterhouse1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.2% · O3.5 PROB 26.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HARBOUR VIEW · PPG 1.24

WATERHOUSE · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home AVERAGE (1.24)

Win probability 1X2

Harbour View (H) 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Waterhouse (A) 48.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Harbour View face Waterhouse in Jamaica - Premier League on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Harbour View a 26% chance, the draw 26% and Waterhouse 48%, so Waterhouse are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Harbour View and 1.5 for Waterhouse (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Harbour View are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.88 for Waterhouse. This match finished 0-1.

Harbour View vs Waterhouse Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jamaica - Premier League Predictions