Chapelton vs Portmore Utd Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Jamaica - Premier League Regular Season - 35 Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex· Kingston Sunday, April 19, 2026 20:30

Chapelton PPG 1.50

0-2 HIT CS5

Portmore Utd PPG 1.59

Home· +31.0% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chapelton face Portmore Utd in Jamaica - Premier League on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chapelton a 31% chance, the draw 30% and Portmore Utd 39%, so Portmore Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Chapelton and 1.1 for Portmore Utd (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chapelton are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.59 for Portmore Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +31.0%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.2%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +31.0%

Draw 30.2%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -6.4%

Away 38.6%

Odds: 1.85 EV: -28.6%

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.0% Odds: 2.40 -18.4%

Over 3.5 15.4% Odds: 4.50 -30.7%

BTTS 41.2% Odds: 2.10 -13.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Chapelton

0.96

Portmore Utd

1.10

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 37%

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.59)