Today / Ukraine - Premier League / Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Veres Rivne

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Veres Rivne Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Regular Season - 1 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 12:30

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

PPG 1.65 · HOME

UPCOMING

Veres Rivne

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-19.5%0-23.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.6%1-112.5%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.9%2-18.2%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.8%3-13.6%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 25.0%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.7%

H 49% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.6%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1.3

Veres Rivne0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

METALIST 1925 KHARKIV · PPG 1.65

VERES RIVNE · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (H) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Veres Rivne (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv face Veres Rivne in Ukraine - Premier League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Metalist 1925 Kharkiv a 49% chance, the draw 28% and Veres Rivne 23%, so Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and 0.8 for Veres Rivne (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 1.17 for Veres Rivne.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Veres Rivne Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ukraine - Premier League Predictions