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Rangers de Talca vs Curico Unido Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 19:00

Rangers de Talca

PPG 0.33 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Curico Unido

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-112.1%0-26.2%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.1%1-113.4%1-26.9%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.3%2-17.5%2-23.8%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.7%3-12.8%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.1% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 30.0% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.1% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 32.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.6%

H 41% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0✓ 11.8%

#3 1–0 13.1%

#4 0–1 12.1%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rangers de Talca1.1

Curico Unido1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RANGERS DE TALCA · PPG 0.33

CURICO UNIDO · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.09, combined xG 2.14 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rangers de Talca (H) 41.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Curico Unido (A) 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rangers de Talca face Curico Unido in Chile - Liga de Ascenso on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rangers de Talca a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Curico Unido 30%, so Rangers de Talca are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Rangers de Talca and 1.0 for Curico Unido (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rangers de Talca are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.88 for Curico Unido. This match finished 0-0.

Rangers de Talca vs Curico Unido Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Match Preview & Prediction

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