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Brazil - Serie A
Regular Season - 12
Estádio Urbano Caldeira· Santos
Sunday, April 19, 2026
19:00
Santos
PPG 1.83
2-3
MISS
Fluminense
PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +61.3%
✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
43.2%
Odds: 2.54
EV: +9.7%
Draw
23.5%
Odds: 3.10
EV: -27.2%
Away
33.2%
Odds: 2.85
EV: -5.4%
Model lean:
BTTS
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
60.8%
Odds: 2.25
+36.8%
Over 3.5
38.4%
Odds: 4.20
+61.3%
BTTS
62.4%
Odds: 1.90
+18.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
2-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Santos
1.69
Fluminense
1.45
Model Suggestion
BTTS
+18.6%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+61.3%)
League Track Record
↗
Based on 63 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
49%
O2.5/Under
48%
BTTS/No
54%
Score Hit
49%
ROI
8.0%
Bet Hit
56%
(27 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=43.2%