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Spain - Segunda División Sunday, April 19, 2026 19:00 
Almeria PPG 2.24 
Malaga PPG 1.24
Spain - Segunda División Sunday, April 19, 2026 19:00 Almeria PPG 2.243-2 MISS
Malaga PPG 1.24Over3.5· +39.2% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 74.6% Odds: 1.62 +20.8%
Over 3.5 54.6% Odds: 2.55 +39.2%
BTTS 71.9% Odds: 1.55 +11.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 1-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Almeria 2.29
Malaga 1.61
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +20.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+39.2%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+39.2%)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.24) vs P(Home)=53.0%