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Siracusa vs Cavese Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Italy - Serie C - Girone C logo Italy flag Italy - Serie C - Girone C Girone C - 37 Stadio Nicola De Simone· Siracusa Sunday, April 19, 2026 18:30
Siracusa logo Siracusa PPG 1.56
1-1 HIT CS2
Cavese logo Cavese PPG 0.89
Home· +17.1% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Siracusa face Cavese in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Siracusa a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Cavese 20%, so Siracusa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Siracusa and 0.9 for Cavese (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Siracusa are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.89 for Cavese. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.1%
Odds: 2.05 EV: +17.1%
Draw 23.4%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -27.5%
Away 19.5%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -30.8%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.1% Odds: 2.15 +7.7%
Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 3.85 +8.2%
BTTS 49.8% Odds: 1.83 -8.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Siracusa
1.76
Cavese
0.92

Model Suggestion

Home +17.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 24%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 57%
ROI -20.6%
Bet Hit 43% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away POOR (0.89)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org