Today / Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina / Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus

Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 4 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 00:00

Talleres Cordoba

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lanus

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-19.8%0-23.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.6%1-112.6%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.7%2-18.1%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.6%3-13.5%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.4% 42.0% 2.38 +15.2%

Draw 28.0% 37.0% 2.70 -14.6%

Away win 23.6% 27.8% 3.60 -9.0%

Over 2.5 42.7% 33.3% 3.00 +28.1%

Over 3.5 21.1% 16.7% 6.00 +16.0%

BTTS 47.7% 44.4% 2.25 +7.3%

Home O1.5 37.9% 33.9% 2.95 +11.8%

Away O1.5 17.2% 25.0% 4.00 -18.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 88 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -2.5%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.7%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.0%

#2 1–0 16.6%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.7%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres Cordoba1.3

Lanus0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES CORDOBA · PPG 1.44

LANUS · PPG 1.10

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Talleres Cordoba (H) 48.4%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV +15.2%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -14.6%

Lanus (A) 23.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -9.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres Cordoba face Lanus in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres Cordoba a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Lanus 24%, so Talleres Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Talleres Cordoba and 0.8 for Lanus (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres Cordoba are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.10 for Lanus. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +28.1%.

Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions