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Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura · Matchday 4 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 22:00

Banfield

PPG 1.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

Belgrano Cordoba

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-112.6%0-25.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.9%1-113.4%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.0%2-17.2%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.8%3-12.5%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% 30.3% 3.30 +29.4%

Draw 31.8% 34.5% 2.90 -7.8%

Away win 29.1% 42.0% 2.38 -18.4%

Over 2.5 42.7% 37.0% 2.70 +15.3%

Over 3.5 21.1% 18.2% 5.50 +9.6%

BTTS 47.7% 46.5% 2.15 +2.5%

Home O1.5 30.2% 26.7% 3.75 +13.3%

Away O1.5 23.6% 34.7% 2.88 -19.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 87 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -2.5%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.7%

H 39% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.0%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 1–0 14.9%

#4 0–1 12.6%

#5 2–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banfield1.1

Belgrano Cordoba0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BANFIELD · PPG 1.89

BELGRANO CORDOBA · PPG 1.67

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.17, combined xG 1.97 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Banfield (H) 39.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +29.4%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -7.8%

Belgrano Cordoba (A) 29.1%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -18.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Banfield face Belgrano Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banfield a 39% chance, the draw 32% and Belgrano Cordoba 29%, so Banfield are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Banfield and 0.9 for Belgrano Cordoba (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banfield are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.67 for Belgrano Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +15.6%.

Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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